Copyright ©2004 by Paul Niquette, all rights reserved.
|It is an exceptionally dark night. You are approaching a remote airport. All you can make out on the ground are the runway lights...|
|As you get closer, you notice that the most distant runway lights appear to be increasing in elevation. If you make no corrections, at touch-down you expect that you will see...|
|You quickly decide to make power adjustments and throughout the rest of the approach, you manage to keep the elevation of the most distant runway lights from changing...|
GO TO SOLUTION PAGE
The title Sloping in the Dark owes its
origin to the author's fascination with
counter-intuitive difficulties faced by the futurist
as exemplified in the book Groping in the Dark:
The First Decade of Global Modelling
by D. Meadows, John Wiley & Sons (1982), which
collects the most significant work at that time in the
field of large scale computer modelling.
As we saw in Sloping in the
Dark, the runway
lights provide information, for sure, but as with all
forms of observations and opinions, data and
statistics, it takes a model based ultimately
on First Principles for meaningful interpretation --
and to avoid pitfalls.