REAL PROBLEM
Solar
energy has a problem.
It’s
available only in the daytime. Thus, it must be stored until nightfall
when it is most needed. But that’s not the real problem.
It’s
abundant in Las Vegas and scarce in Rochester. Thus, it must be transported
to where it is most needed. That’s not the real problem either.
It’s
heat, thermodynamically the least valuable kind of energy. Thus, it must
be transformed to be useable.
Not
the real problem, though.
The real problem with solar energy is that
it is weak.
The sun's energy is spread out thinly over
the earth's surface. It seems like a lot, but it amounts to only one calorie
per minute per square centimeter -- at high noon, on a clear day, near
the equator. That's not a whole lot.
Solar energy must therefore be concentrated
on a massive scale before it can be applied to our highly centralized energy
delivery systems.
In Barstow, California, there's a huge solar
energy demonstration plant. It takes up scores of acres. It uses hundreds
of giant heliostats, computer-controlled mirrors, that reflect sunshine
from all over the field onto a 300-foot tall, "black-body" absorbing tower
in the center of the complex. (Pity some hapless bird that inadvertently
flies near that beam.)
Inside the tower, super-heated to nearly one
thousand degrees by the concentrated rays, is the steam that drives turbines
for the generation of electricity.
The requisite investment for the project reflects
somebody's grand vision (and wishful thinking) about the centralized use
of solar energy.
If you chance to pedal by this wondrous solar
energy farm, by all means get off your bicycle and take a good look. It
may be the only one of its kind in the world. Ever.
If you look beyond the tower and the heliostats,
you will see nearby a conventional, fossil-burning power plant. That one
feeds electricity into the grid for the whole Southwest.
As for the solar demonstration complex in the
foreground, its total output is less than what's called the "parasitic
load" for that conventional power plant.
Which isn't much, just the power required to
operate some pumps and office lights.
TIDAL FEET
There was a young girl from Boston, Mass.
She stood in the water up to her… ankles.
(It doesn’t rhyme now, but it
will when the tide comes in.)
Energy is measurable in various units -- Btu's
(British thermal units), kilowatt-hours, acre-feet.
Acre-feet?
That's right. The energy content of water stored
behind a dam is conventionally expressed in acre-feet. To calculate this
unit, you take the height of the water behind the dam, measured in feet,
and multiply that by the size of the reservoir, measured in acres.
Water flowing through a hydro-electric station
under a dam produces some amount of kilowatt-hours from the acre-feet.
The conversion efficiency has more to do with the "feet," than with the
"acres."
Dams should be few and high rather than many
and not so high.
That's why tidal energy conversion is not as
practical as wishful thinkers think. Although damming the ocean puts vast
tidal acres into storage, there are just not that many tidal feet to work
with.
The resulting available energy is so little
that a dike around the entire U.S. would produce barely enough kilowatt-hours
to light the city of Boston, Mass.
Water
Some places in the ocean are saltier than other
places.
That's because the sun shines brighter in some
places causing more evaporation and leaving behind a more concentrated
salt solution. In other places, it rains more. The rain, being distilled
water, dilutes the ocean.
Places where evaporation exceeds rainfall are
"zones of divergence," and the rainier places are "zones of convergence."
Water is transported from the former to the latter in the atmosphere, under
the influence of long-term weather patterns.
Zones of convergence also occur on land. Rain
runs downhill, eventually to the ocean. Bodies of fresh water occasionally
accumulate along the way, and some rainwater soaks into the ground forming
aquifers. That's where we get much of our fresh water.
Can zones of divergence ever occur on dry land?
Surprisingly, the answer is yes. And on some
of the driest land in the world! In parts of the Sahara, for example, evaporation
exceeds rainfall by quite a lot, which raises the question, where does
that water come from?
It seeps into the desert's aquifers from some
distant zones of convergence. Evaporation takes place right through the
porous desert soil, and the atmosphere carries the water vapor away, to
be condensed into rain -- elsewhere.
Thus, water is a renewable resource. In the
hydrologic cycle, all the loops close. The earth's waters are constantly
evaporating somewhere and condensing somewhere, blowing and flowing away,
but always returning. Always in balance.
Not quite.
Irrigation
"Dry farming" is a misnomer. It means farming
without irrigation. But it isn't exactly dry. Where dry farming is done,
there's usually plenty of rainfall. Where there isn't enough and irrigation
is required, that should be called dry farming.
Irrigation can be necessary even in places
that have plenty of rainfall. Certain types of soil permit water to soak
through too rapidly. Crops would dry out unless extra amounts of water
are applied.
Irrigation requires the transportation of water
from somewhere, preferably from a zone of convergence. Or, it requires
the pumping of water from underground. Unlike petroleum which is non-replenishable,
water pumped from the ground will be replaced in due course by natural
mechanisms in the hydrologic cycle.
Replaced, that is, if you don't pump it out
too fast. When that happens, the water table goes down. In effect, you
are mining water. And the water you're using today didn't just arrive as
rain yesterday. Or last year. As you pump out more and the water table
goes down, you're irrigating today's crops with ancient rainwater. Wells
must be dug deeper. Sound familiar?
To do all that pumping, you need to expend
a great deal of energy. Wind, a derivative of solar energy, would seem
to be an especially appropriate form of energy for pumping water out of
the ground. But windmills produce only a minute fraction of the pumping
energy for today's farms. Most of the rest is provided by, well, petroleum.
Consider the great cornfields of the Middle-West.
When you look down on them from a jet plane, or a space craft, you see
patterns of circles inside squares tesselating the landscape. What a curious
sight! That's the result of a technology invented by a farmer in Columbus,
Nebraska. It's called "center-pivot irrigation."
There's a well in the center of each circle
and a quarter-mile-long steel pipe strung out radially to the edge of the
circle. Water is pumped out of the well and through the pipe to oversized
sprinkler heads. Huge pneumatic-tired bogeys carry the pipe in its slow-moving
arc, like the hour-hand of a gigantic terrestrial clock. The genius of
this invention is in the synchronization of the wheels and in the linkages
that keep the pipe straight.
Center-pivot irrigation brings land unsuitable
for "dry farming" into productive use.
The law of unintended consequences also prevails.
Water sprayed in massive quantities and in small droplets evaporates rapidly,
creating a zone of divergence, which means that much of the water gets
carried away in the atmosphere.
Pumping is nearly continuous, and with all
that evaporation, the water table keeps dropping. Farmers must dig their
wells ever deeper, even in nearby areas where center-pivot irrigation is
not needed. Along with water, the pumps bring up undesirable salts, and
through repeated recirculation, those salts accumulate on the surface,
gradually ruining the very land brought into cultivation by this technology.
Finally, for each acre of farmland under center-pivot
irrigation, more than 70 gallons per year of diesel fuel are consumed.
Sail Ship
Among the "rediscoveries" in the post-petroleum
age will be the commercial sailing ship. It isn't even fun to predict this
anymore. Full-scale prototypes are already being developed on both sides
of the Pacific.
There is hysteresis in technology, though.
The pathway forward will not retrace the pathway over which we came. We're
not in a cul-de-sac.
Sailing ships of the future will not resemble
their ancestors in the previous century any more than the bicycles of today
are fashioned after the high-wheelers.
Look for titanium-steel masts, dacron sails,
weather data from satellites, inertial navigation, and sophisticated computer
systems for trimming the sails.
Sun Ship
The only thing really wrong about the great
dirigibles of the twenties was timing. They came along about a century
too soon.
Consider first the materials out of which the
huge airships were built. Inside their metallized canvas coverings, each
was held rigid by a fragile triangulated space frame made of laminated
wood.
Indeed, most of the 161 rigid airships that
were ever built broke in two and crashed. Most of the rest, of course,
burned up. That's because, the lifting gas was the notoriously flammable
hydrogen. Helium is just about as effective and also inert. The technology
leader, Zeppelin, built 130 airships and might have preferred to use helium,
but couldn't get the stuff. The U.S. was the "OPEC" of helium. Still is.
The lifting gas was sealed inside 16 or more
cells made of -- now get this -- gold beaters' skin. That's a membrane
taken from the intestines of cattle and goats. It took 50,000 skins to
make just one cell. Today, we'd use polyethylene. Just think, your trash
bags are made out of a far superior material to that used in the Hindenburg.
Airships of the future would be made of "space-age"
materials. A monocoque (single shell) hull has already been proposed.
Laminations of fiber-glass and polyurethane,
as in surf-boards, provide the highest strength and the lowest weight.
Inside would be a "ballonet," a separate cell into which air can be pumped
for ballast. To go up, just open a valve.
Among the best proposed designs is one which
calls for the hull to be shaped circular in plan-form and elliptical in
elevation. A gigantic flying saucer. Computer models show how a 100-meter
version will carry as much payload as the Hindenburg, about 100 tons, at
speeds of over 100 MPH.
Powered by the sun.
Airships in the post-petroleum age will be
covered by solar cells, and electric motors will turn their propellers.
To be practical, remember, solar-powered things have to cast big shadows.
The "sun ship" does that better than any other mode of transportation.
Here is an opportunity for silicon technology,
which has radically transformed our commercial and private lives in the
information processing realms, to make a significant contribution to transportation
as well. |