ne
way to attack a Next Number
puzzle is to take differences
between successive entries. If the differences are all
alike, you have solved the puzzle. If the differences
are -- well, different, then you can treat them as just
another string of numbers and take differences again. In
this case the third set of differences are all the same,
6.
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17
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23
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29
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35
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41
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14
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31
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54
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83
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118
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159
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1
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15
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46
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100
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183
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301
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460
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To get the Next
Number, then, all you have to do is
reverse the process. In this case you start with the
common difference, 6, and add that to the last entry
in the row below, 41, then add the sum, 47,
to the last entry in the row below that, 159,
and so forth until you get to the bottom row and the
solution, .
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6
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6
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6
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6
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17
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23
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29
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35
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41
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14
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31
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54
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83
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118
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159
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1
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15
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46
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100
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183
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301
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460
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The sophisticated puzzle solver, may be
curious to know if that method will always work in
puzzles that ask for the Next
Number.
Will that
method always work?
uppose the puzzle gave
only the first four integers in the series instead
of seven. If we apply the same method, we will run
out of given numbers to subtract from one
another before we find differences that agree with
each other on top row.
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6
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17
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23
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14
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31
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54
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1
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15
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46
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100
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The method still
works, and we can calculate the Next Number, 183, just fine thank you.
The previous
sentence does not have an exclamation point but the
next one does. The sophisticated puzzle solver did
not need all that extra information provided in the
statement of the puzzle after all! He or she did
need something, though...
In order to solve
the puzzle with that extra information left out, one
needs to make an assumption: specifically
that the integer 6 will result as the common
difference for terms not given. Hey,
that's what assumptions are for -- to make up for
missing or contradictory information.
By the way, in
solving the puzzle with all of that extra
information, we had to make an assumption just the
same. We observed four 6s in a row and assumed
that the fifth entry in that row would be a 6
also.
A sophisticated
person understands that his or her thought-life is
drenched in assumptions, and the fundament of clear
thinking is "to make explicit the assumptions you are
not aware you are making" (see Discovering
Assumptions).
f the series above had as its fifth entry
the number 184 instead of 183, then we
need to create another row for the difference between
7 and 6. Here again, since we have run
out of information, we deliberately assume
that is the common difference
and produce 306 for the sixth entry instead
of the number 301 in the original puzzle.
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1
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1
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6
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7
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6
|
7
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17
|
23
|
30
|
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17
|
23
|
30
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14
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31
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54
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84
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14
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31
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54
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84
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1
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15
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46
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100
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184
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1
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15
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46
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100
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184
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You might run this series out to
discover what number replaces the 666 in our
original solution. Also, try using a different number
in place of the 184, like 182, which
is smaller than the original 183. What happens
when the fifth number is 99, which is smaller
than the previous number, 100? Wild stuff,
there.
King for a Day
explores the matter of assumptions and predictions
further. In the meantime, consider a slightly
different test of our method for finding the Next Number. Let the
fourth entry be the number 101 instead of the
100 in the original puzzle, but put the fifth
entry back at the original number 183.
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-4
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-4
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-4
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-4
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7
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3
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7
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3
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-5
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-9
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17
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24
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27
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17
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24
|
27
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21
|
12
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14
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31
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55
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82
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14
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31
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55
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82
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129
|
141
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1
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15
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46
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101
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183
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1
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15
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46
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101
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183
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422
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563
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Whereas the original puzzle produces 666
for the eighth entry, we now get only 563.
With -4 as the common difference, try running your
predictions out into the 'future' and watch what
happens.
he method we have been using still works. It
is easy to show that the series will reach a peak and
then the entries decrease and eventually become
negative. Which is fine. Given any number of entries,
apparently, we can make our assumption and
then nonchalantly produce the Next Number.
We can do something else, too. All Next Number puzzles
have a tacit requirement:
That the puzzle solver must provide a rationale
for the solution.
Otherwise any old Next Number could be
chosen. The method we are using above seems to meet that
requirement.
Having made our assumption
explicit, we always have a rationale for
predicting the Next Number for any series of numbers.
That sentence does not
deserve an exclamation point. Sophisticated
solvers will surely discover the fallacy.
onsider
the
series that starts out 0, 2, 24,
252, 3,120, ... We build a difference
table as set forth below, and when we run out of
differences to take, we make our explicit assumption
of constant differences to form a rationale for
projecting the series ... 13,310,
37,752, 63,624, ...
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2,248
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2,248
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2,248
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186
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2,434
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6,930
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9,178
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20
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206
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2,640
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14,252
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23,430
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2
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22
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228
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2,868
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24,442
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25,872
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0
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2
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24
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252
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3,120
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37,752
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63,624
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Thing is, each entry in this series was
generated by the simple formula nn
- n.
Accordingly, here is what the puzzle-master must have
been expecting as a solution to the puzzle...
n
=
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1
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2
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3
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4
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5
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6
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7
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8
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by-differences:
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0
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2
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24
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252
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3,120
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13,310
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37,752
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63,624
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by-formula:
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0
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2
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24
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252
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3,120
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46,650
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823,536
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16,777,208
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...but hold on, there. The
phrase "must have been expecting" is only a conjecture
and might well be modified to read "might have been
expecting." As sophisticated solvers, we are
entitled to ask the question, what makes the by-formula
series "right" and the by-differences series
"wrong"? That question is addressed in another
puzzle entitled Differationale.
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